May 13, 2007

Rare Earth

Of all the months to choose to finally read Rare Earth: Why Complex Life is Uncommon in the Universe by Peter D. Ward and Donald Brownlee, a book I’ve long had on my “to read” list, this was probably the most fortuitous. It was a matter of chance, really. Reader S.S. saw the thing on my Amazon wish list, realized it was in a pile of books she intended to part with, and kindly sent it along to me.

I’m grateful for that, because I’ve wanted to read it for some time. What’s more, though, is that as a result I wound up reading it in the month in which scientists announced they’d found the first-known extrasolar terrestrial planet theoretically capable of supporting life. The planet, Gliese 581 C, is thought to be about one and a half times the diameter of Earth, approximately five times Earth’s mass, and revolving around its sun Gliese 581 within the “habitable zone,” a distance from the star at which liquid water could exist on the planet’s surface. Gliese 581 is a red dwarf, much cooler than our Sol, and thus its habitable zone is much closer in. Gliese 581 C is about .07 Astronomical Units from its sun, and takes only 13 of your Earth days to complete a revolution around Gliese 581.

The scientists have been much more cautious than the media when it comes to fantasizing about another Earth out there. It’s not known for sure whether Gliese 581 C is actually a terrestrial planet. At five times the mass of Earth, astronomer David Charbonneau of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics told Scientific American, “A five-Earth-mass planet “sort of looks like Earth, but it sort of looks like Neptune. So which is it?” If Gliese 581 C is indeed terrestrial, it could be completely covered with water — given the configuration of the other two known planets in the system, some astronomers speculate that the system has undergone planetary migration, meaning that the planets may have formed much farther from their parent star and moved inward. If Gliese 581 C formed on the cold side of its system, it could have amassed a large amount of solid water — a possible local parallel being Jupiter’s moon Europa — which would, on migrating inward, melt into a world-encompassing ocean.

Wait. Did I say the scientists were cautious? Team member Xavier Delfosse from Grenoble University may have let his excitement get the better of him when he spoke to New Scientist.

“On the treasure map of the universe, one would be tempted to mark this planet with an X,” says Delfosse. “Because of its temperature and relative proximity, this planet will most probably be a very important target of the future space missions dedicated to the search for extraterrestrial life.”

I did a little back-of-the-envelope figuring. If Voyager 1, the fastest human artifact, had been aimed at Gliese 581 instead of at some random destination in the constellation Camelopardis, it would be able to check out Gliese 581 C in only about 367,200 years. Better get that grant proposal written quick, guys.

But it’s the speculation about indigenous life on Gliese 581 C that made me glad to be reading Ward and Brownlee.

For those of you who haven’t read the book, the premise is that complex life could not have arisen nor survived long on Earth without a rather unusual sequence of events having occurred. As an absolute baseline, the solar system in question needs to be rich in “metals” — by which astronomers mean elements heavier than lithium — which the majority of such systems are not. The star must be relatively consistent in energy output, and the planet’s orbit close to circular, else the surface temperature will swing too widely for organic chemistry to be truly content. Other large planets in the system also need those circular orbits, lest they perturb the orbit of the test planet. It helps if one of those planets is large enough to suck up most of the interplanetary debris to reduce the number of planet-sterilizing impacts, as Jupiter kindly has for us. But one planet-breaking impact may be required, such as the one Earth probably got from a Mars-sized planet about four and a half billion years ago that tore both planets to shreds, the shreds re-coalescing to form the Earth-Moon system. That moon has kept the Earth’s axis from wobbling overmuch, meaning that the planet hasn’t gone through periods of millions of years with one pole pointed sun-ward and the other pole in permanent night.

That collision, if it happened, likely shaped later life on Earth in two other ways. The collision acted as a giant refinery. Much of the mass of the two planets made up of lighter elements went into orbit to become the Moon: the heavier stuffflew less far and formed Earth 2.0, which is now the densest planet in the Solar System. The other planet’s core is now part of Earth’s core. Most of the Earth’s core is liquid iron, which through processes not completely understood creates the Earth’s magnetic field. That magnetic field is the reason we can breathe: without it, the charged particles put out by the Sun — the Solar Wind — would have ablated the atmosphere away long ago.

The second way that Ward and Brownlee think that collision helped us is a bit more tenuous. Some of the heavy elements the Earth possesses in relative abundance include uranium and thorium, both of them radioactive, with some isotopes possessing extremely long half-lives. Along with the relatively light potassium 40, the radioactivity of these elements is thought to be what keeps the core as hot as it is. The core heat heats the mantle, which — being plastic — convects to disperse that heat. That convection drives plate tectonics. And if not for plate tectonics, argue Ward and Brownlee, there likely would have been no continents on Earth, and no shallow seas around them. Life on Earth would have been solely of the deep-ocean variety, and biodiversity extremely limited, quite likely enough that it could have been wiped out by any one of the early mass extinctions. No other planet in the Solar System exhibits plate tectonics, which may be rare among planets in general.

The book is admittedly Panglossian, with events that may only have influenced Earth life (such as continental weathering and its role in the carbon cycle) being offered as possible necessary preconditions for complex life. And despite Ward and Brownlee defining complex life as multicellular eukaryotic organisms, it’s clear that what they really mean is Earth-type animals. To read Rare Earth, you might decide that plants had nothing to do once their single-celled ancestors oxygenated the Precambrian atmosphere, and that space explorers finding a planet full of forests without animals would have failed to find extraterrestrial life. (In fact, in a discussion of bacteria on Martian meteorites, they explicitly say that no complex life could long survive in space, which might be news to those familiar with fungal spores, or for that matter the spores of a number of higher plants.)

But the book contains a number of important points relevant to the hubbub about Gliese 581 C. That close orbit, for instance. Planets that orbit close to their stars, or moons that orbit close to their planets, often become “tidally locked” — they, like our moon, mainly point one face at the body they orbit. Such an fate is being discussed as a likely possibility for Gliese 581 C. Scientists are talking about the blazing bright side and the cryogenic dark side being separated by a thin habitable zone, which is relevant if you’re fantasizing about colonizing the planet as an uncomfortable way station, but not so much if you’re expecting complex life to evolve and hang on over a couple billion years. Even if the planet could maintain an atmosphere somehow: can you imagine the windstorms?

And speaking of wind, we’d better hope that Gliese 581 C has an Earth-style magnetic-field-generating molten nickel-iron core. Red dwarf stars, despite being cooler and thus dimmer than our sun, apparently tend to generate significantly stronger stellar winds than does Sol. Gliese 581 C is about one-fourteenth as far from its sun as we are from ours, and its sun kicks up more plasma: unless Gliese 581 C has one heck of a planetary magnetic field, its atmosphere would have been scraped away long ago like so much balsa wood under a wire brush.

I have suggested here on previous occasions that the nerds of the world are unlikely, anytime soon, to meet buxom Andorran wenches unfamiliar with your quaint Earthling feminism. It made people unhappy. I expect the same people will be impatient with my suggestion that even if you discount the more handwavy parts of Ward and Brownlee’s book, the possibility of multicellular life on Gliese 581 C — let alone sentient life of a sort that SETI astronomers might find — depends on a couple big, less than likely “if"s. Hopeful hype aside, we still haven’t found a place nearly as suited to complex life as Earth.

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I have suggested here on previous occasions that the nerds of the world are unlikely, anytime soon, to meet buxom Andorran wenches unfamiliar with your quaint Earthling feminism. It made people unhappy.

Ha.

On the other hand, people hankering to go spelunking on Mars or to meet Professor Pavlov and Conan the Bacterium might just be in luck.

Okay, there might be no air. But if there was…

does anyone know of any sciFi planet like this new one? A planet tidally locked to a sun?

Imagine the interesting situation in the rim of “evening” around sun-lite side of the planet. What if some where in this rim life arose? Some where the temp must be right, because the temp is prob’ly hot hot on the face of the planet and really cold on the center of the back face. But in the rim you might have the right temp and somewhere some water or something.

After life arose, it would then push into the heat and the cold. Heat tolerant plants and chemotrophic freezer bacteria. What would the weather be like in such a place, would there be calm or storms? constant chynook winds? Have any weather modelers modeled such a place? I would think (not thinking too deeply) that it would be desert on one side and deep glaciers on the other, producing constant glacial rivers that flow to the sunny side of the planet.

If intel life arose, what mythologies would be in a land where the sun never moves, whre you might never see stars?

and the building codes, what would they be like...?

-d

I have some rough personal thumbnail theories about the causation of life.

One is that life is an innate property of matter and, given a certain set of circumstances, ALWAYS happens. It seems to me in my fuzzy conceptualizations about it that entropy itself is a driving factor – entropy “wants� living things to develop, so to speak, because life serves as a handmaiden to the cause of increasing energy dissipation.

Another has to do with interfaces and motion. Life happens at an interface of some sort, like water and air (pond surface), or water, air and soil (seashore), or hot chemical soup and bland seawater (hot smoker in the ocean), and life happens best/fastest when there’s some “motion� across or along that interface – tides, or flow turbulence, or cycles of light/dark or hot/cold.

A tectonically active planet WITH a moon to create tides would be a superstar in the life-creating field. More interfaces, more motion and variation.

I read “The Big Splat, or How Our Moon Came to Be� a few years back, and I was stunned with the vision of Earth Mark I being whacked at random by a smaller celestial body, blasting a considerable amount of its mass off into space, where it congealed into this other orbiting body, the Moon, leaving Earth Mark II behind, denuded of much of its lighter outer layers.

The sheer unlikelihood of the event in all its factors – the impact itself, the relative sizes of the original bodies, the relative sizes of the resulting bodies, the force and angle of the impact that was able to leave this huge mass hanging around in orbit ... which could then drive the life-engine on earth with tidal motion across its sea/land interface ... damn. Position a celestial Minnesota Fats out in the Oort Cloud, give him Lord Xenu’s own cue stick, and he couldn’t make this life-giving shot in a trillion years.

I think about this vision of incredible long-shot rarity in the creation of life on Earth, and I see it as sooooo preciously different from the stupid, blithe goddidit approach, that it ... pisses me off, once again, at religion. Life, our kind of life – humans and bunnies and dogs and eagles and bears and African lions and hummingbirds – is so astonishingly unlikely, it’s like ...

Dang. I can’t even describe it. It’s like if you imagine that we value gold because it’s so rare, and if you were to get all the gold in the world together in one lump, and a tiny civilization were to develop on it, with people made out of nothing but gold, what THEY would find incredibly precious and rare, THEIR “gold,� would be ... bunnies and dogs and eagles and bears and African lions and hummingbirds. And us.

Life of our type is a gold-squared rarity.

We’re a tiny droplet of livingness, our type of livingness, in a cold, empty universe. The poison that keeps us from knowing that, and from cherishing our gold-squared rarity, is our own stupidity, but also the stupidity-on-steroids, the complacent and avid stupidity, which is religion.

I’m struck by the fact that multicellular animal life existed on this planet for hundreds of millions of years without giving “rise” to a form of life capable of developing (and misusing) technology.  I realize the factors you describe, Chris, relate to the development of life in general.  But it seems to me that humans likely would not have evolved if the asteroid that struck the Yucatan 65 million years ago had missed.

Charles, I don’t know about that. See:
http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v446/n7135/abs/nature05634.html
for an alternate view
or
http://scienceblogs.com/grrlscientist/2007/03/mammals_began_to_diversify_pri.php
for a more general explanation.
Basically, the first is a paper saying that perhaps the dinosaur extinction and the rise of mammals had a lot less to do with each other than was previously thought.

My big problem with all these debates over the origin and evolution of life is, dammit, we only have one data point. Until we find life of any kind anywhere outside of this planet and preferably outside this solar system, this debate is mostly meaningless. Fun, of course, but meaningless.

Chris, I’m glad you are enjoying the book.

S.S., thanks for the links.  I enjoyed the picture of Andrewsarchus.

Interesting factoid: Discovery Institute fellow Guillermo González was involved in the making of Rare Earth; his own book, Privileged Planet, argues that our immensely improbable universe was designed to produce a species just like us. This does not, of course, cast doubt on the work of Ward and Brownlee, who are not creationists themselves. Jack Cohen (biologist) and Ian Stewart (mathematician), in their highly entertaining book What Does a Martian Look Like?, have a lengthy response to Rare Earth; their conception of how common life (but not life as we know it) may be in the universe is diametrically opposite to Ward and Brownlee’s. I recommend this book—their followup, Evolving the Alien, is on my to-read list.

Who is right, Cohen and Stewart, Ward and Brownlee, or neither? The frustrating thing about astrobiology (or xenobiology, as C&S;prefer to call it) at this point is that it’s all speculation, probability, back-of-the-envelope calculations, assertions of plausibility. More data is needed, and more data is pouring in daily.

All of this reminds me, that at our best and worst, we are certainly a species that seems to have no problem telling ourselves all of the things we know about what we do not (even cannot) know.  This may be, that might, perhaps this, possibly that--what a wonderfully vague nature we can cast over our metaphors.  Reminds me of the constitutional scholar who wrote that “Supreme Court opinions must necessaraily be ambiguous, particularly about ambiguity in the law.” I would provide the guy’s name but the book is in the basement amongst several crates, and i don’t really have time to look for it.  Maybe sometime i am down there i will pull it out and repost it on this thread.

Sorry, Vasha and Don, for letting your comments languish in the spam bin so long.

=v= Fortunately by following the advice of this book I’ve been able to combine the astral essence of planets and acquire true sanity.

Don Kane wrote

does anyone know of any sciFi planet like this new one? A planet tidally locked to a sun?

Jack of Shadows, by Roger Zelazny.

Tidally locked planets—if I remember correctly, Paul Park’s Celestis featured one that rotated even slower than Mercury: a period of centuries.

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